Saturday, June 9, 2018

ONC predicts 2018 will be another year of failed security, worst in 20 years

Translated by El Profe for Borderland Beat from Sin Embargo
                  

By Sugeyry Gándara

Crimes related to gender violence in Mexico, in the first four months of 2018, were increasing by 40.8 percent, on average, according to official figures. According to analysts consulted by Sin Embargo, the lack of reporting, the under-reporting of violence, the weakness of institutions and the lack of prevention, are some factors that do not allow adequate attention to violence that affect, at least, 30.7 millions of women.

Every hour, in our country, five crimes of gender violence were committed, according to figures from the Executive Secretariat of the National Public Security System (SESNSP). While last January there were 2 thousand 656 investigation files for some type of crime, in April, 3 thousand 739 were registered.

Mexico City (Sin Embargo) - The National Citizen Observatory (ONC) predicted that 2018 will be even more violent than the previous year, as it is expected that the incidence of homicides and femicides will increase by 6.88 percent over the previous year.

"Mexico is going through one of the worst crises of violence in the last 20 years. Not only we can not move forward but we are still lost in a route that makes us think that things are not going to improve," said Francisco Rivas, Director of the National Observatory.

The analysis was made known during the presentation of the High Impact Crime Study in Mexico in 2017, which includes an analysis of the behavior of high-impact crimes and, based on this, presents a forecast for 2018.

"It is well known that the previous year ended with the highest homicide rate. Unfortunately we think that this situation will be repeated in 2018 and will be increased,” with what will be the worst in two decades.

We do not have an accurate approach to combat insecurity. Many candidates talk about technology or implementation of institutions, but they never tell us in reality what is the way to carry out 👉🏼
Annual Study 2017, Incidence of high-impact crimes in Mexico pic.twitter.com/KjixqA7d7J
- Francisco Rivas (@frarivasCoL) June 7, 2018

The study predicts that intentional homicide, plus femicide, will rise this year at a rate of 6.88 percent compared to 2017.

"Here we think that the year will close at a rate of 22.21 to 23.29 research files per 100 thousand inhabitants and a rate of 25.4 to 27.6 victims per 100 thousand inhabitants," explained Rivas.

He recalled that in 2017 there was a rate of 23.82 homicide victims per 100 thousand inhabitants, that is, that the rate increased by 26 percent with respect to 2016.

"We can not predict that we will see a change in behavior and the beginning of the reduction of intentional homicide," he added.

In addition, the ONC noted that the problem remains in the classification of culpable homicide: "there are cases that are recorded as unclear but there are certain aspects that make us feel that it could be fraudulent," he added.

In relation to kidnapping, this is one of the few crimes that decreased during 2017 at a rate of 1.43 victims per 100 thousand inhabitants. The forecast is that it will continue to fall.

Francisco Rivas stressed that the public perception of absolute impunity continues.

The Observatory urged the Mexican State to change its security policy and attack the finances of criminals with modifications to the Law of Extinction of Dominion.

"We need to change [in terms of security] from a reactive approach, we need operative actions," he said.

He added: "We need to weaken the financial structure of criminals. The authority needs more strength to dismantle the financial structure."

The civil organization also denounced that Plataforma México was abandoned, which it considered an error.

"We need the use of effective technology," this implies the strengthening of Plataforma Mexico. It is a key input to generate intelligence in the country," he added.

Female politicians from several states called for a peaceful demonstration in the zócalos, of the entities and municipalities of the country, to demand a "halt to the murders and different expressions of political violence against women in the exercise of their rights."

The main form of kidnapping is extortion, since it represents 68% and 74% of men and women victims of kidnapping from the jurisdiction 👉🏼 @frarivasCoL Annual study 2017, Incidence of high-impact crimes in Mexico https: // t. co / uD4OfUpzHK pic.twitter.com/Izk261IzkS
- ObsNalCiudadano (@ObsNalCiudadano) June 7, 2018

In a statement that circulated in past days on social networks, the general public urged to gather next Thursday, June 14, at 5:00 p.m. (central time), in the different Zócalos of Mexico.

Given the situation: "we call on the political parties, authorities, the actors involved, as well as the general public, to be aware that political violence against women because of gender is real and serious.” 

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